Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Arsenal with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Conference League | 44.8% | 78.8% | +34.0 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 43.7% | 10.2% | −33.5 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 53.9% | 76.9% | +23.0 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 41.3% | 19.9% | −21.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 80.5% | 98.2% | +17.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 19.5% | 1.8% | −17.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 92.3% | 79.3% | −13.0 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 7.2% | 18.5% | +11.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 25.4% | 36.1% | +10.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 68.9% | 60.8% | −8.0 |
