Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Tottenham with a 24.3% chance and Nottingham beat Arsenal with a 15.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 18 (before the first match) against those on May 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Relegation | 69.4% | 95.6% | +26.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 25.1% | 2.7% | −22.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Conference League | 76.1% | 98.3% | +22.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 74.1% | 95.7% | +21.6 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 19.1% | 0% | −19.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 80.4% | 97.3% | +17.0 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 19.4% | 2.7% | −16.7 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 16.1% | 0% | −16.1 |
| Aston Villa | Conference League | 6.8% | <0.1% | −6.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 33.5% | 26.9% | −6.6 |
