Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 12.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 4 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 67.7% | 29.4% | −38.3 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 24.0% | 53.9% | +29.9 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 15.8% | 43.7% | +27.9 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 52.6% | 75.4% | +22.8 |
| Liverpool | Conference League | 21.9% | 5.0% | −16.9 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Europa League | 20.7% | 4.0% | −16.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 9.2% | 25.4% | +16.2 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 55.7% | 41.3% | −14.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 7.3% | 17.2% | +9.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 91.3% | 81.4% | −9.8 |
