Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Leicester City with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 5 (before the first match) against those on April 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 51.3% | 25.8% | −25.5 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 19.7% | 34.8% | +15.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 20.7% | 8.4% | −12.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 29.0% | 40.2% | +11.2 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 60.1% | 70.5% | +10.4 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 12.5% | 22.6% | +10.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 70.4% | 80.0% | +9.6 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 16.1% | 6.5% | −9.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 74.7% | 65.7% | −9.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 25.3% | 34.3% | +9.0 |
