Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Tottenham with a 9.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 9 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 25.8% | 5.0% | −20.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 27.2% | 12.3% | −14.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 44.3% | 59.1% | +14.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 40.2% | 26.4% | −13.7 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Europa League | 16.0% | 25.9% | +9.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 83.2% | 92.2% | +9.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 65.7% | 56.8% | −8.9 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 34.3% | 43.2% | +8.9 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 6.5% | 14.4% | +7.9 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 13.9% | 21.2% | +7.4 |
