Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 15 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 28.8% | 95.8% | +67.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 29.4% | 85.3% | +55.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 70.6% | 14.7% | −55.8 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 51.2% | <0.1% | −51.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 48.0% | <0.1% | −48.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 19.8% | 64.1% | +44.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Conference League | 19.9% | 52.4% | +32.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 44.3% | 67.7% | +23.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 76.5% | 98.3% | +21.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 21.8% | 2.6% | −19.2 |
