Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bournemouth beat Liverpool with a 16.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 6 (before the first match) against those on March 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 67.3% | 51.7% | −15.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 61.1% | 47.5% | −13.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.1% | 17.7% | −13.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 38.1% | 49.7% | +11.6 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 33.9% | 44.4% | +10.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 21.1% | 29.6% | +8.4 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 5.2% | 10.2% | +5.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 10.0% | 14.6% | +4.6 |
| Liverpool | Conference League | 19.6% | 24.0% | +4.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 14.5% | 18.6% | +4.1 |
