Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Manchester United with a 19.7% chance and Nottingham beat West Ham with a 13.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 31.9% | 44.3% | +12.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 50.4% | 62.3% | +11.9 |
| Brentford | Relegation | 23.6% | 12.6% | −11.0 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 58.3% | 48.4% | −10.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 29.1% | 19.5% | −9.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 32.2% | 41.6% | +9.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 76.7% | 85.2% | +8.5 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 24.3% | 17.2% | −7.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 23.2% | 29.0% | +5.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 21.6% | 16.4% | −5.2 |
