Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Manchester United with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 4 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 49.2% | 31.9% | −17.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.0% | 29.1% | −12.9 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 35.1% | 47.3% | +12.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.7% | 50.4% | +10.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 30.4% | 40.8% | +10.4 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 22.8% | 12.9% | −9.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 67.0% | 76.7% | +9.8 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 50.5% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 13.8% | 21.6% | +7.8 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 24.5% | 32.2% | +7.6 |
