Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Leicester City with a 10.0% chance and Leeds United beat Chelsea with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 59.8% | 44.3% | −15.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 42.0% | 30.0% | −12.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 16.4% | 27.3% | +10.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 62.3% | 73.0% | +10.7 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 44.3% | 54.9% | +10.6 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 20.5% | 31.0% | +10.5 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 16.4% | 25.4% | +9.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.6% | 33.8% | −8.8 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 14.5% | 6.2% | −8.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 42.9% | 34.9% | −8.0 |
