Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Leicester City with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 1 (before the first match) against those on January 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | Relegation | 66.9% | 51.9% | −15.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.0% | 26.3% | −14.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 71.0% | 60.4% | −10.6 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 23.7% | 33.2% | +9.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 27.7% | 37.2% | +9.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 27.8% | 36.9% | +9.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 63.8% | 72.1% | +8.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 62.6% | 69.8% | +7.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 17.7% | 11.0% | −6.7 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 51.0% | 55.4% | +4.4 |
