Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Tottenham with a 14.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 28 (before the first match) against those on January 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 56.5% | 71.0% | +14.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 36.4% | 23.7% | −12.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 50.1% | 62.6% | +12.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 40.1% | 27.7% | −12.4 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 41.0% | 51.0% | +10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.4% | 41.0% | +9.6 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 13.1% | 5.7% | −7.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 57.5% | 63.8% | +6.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 34.5% | 40.2% | +5.6 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 10.8% | 16.3% | +5.5 |
