Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Everton with a 21.5% chance and Nottingham beat Leicester City with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 12 (before the first match) against those on January 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | Relegation | 51.1% | 35.4% | −15.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 38.9% | 24.5% | −14.4 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 33.6% | 19.3% | −14.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 60.4% | 73.9% | +13.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 36.9% | 49.5% | +12.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 26.7% | 15.9% | −10.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 72.1% | 62.0% | −10.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 69.9% | 79.8% | +9.9 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 37.0% | 27.4% | −9.7 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 56.5% | 66.1% | +9.6 |
