Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Crystal Palace with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 13 (before the first match) against those on December 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 50.0% | 34.5% | −15.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 51.0% | 40.1% | −10.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 14.7% | 5.6% | −9.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 40.0% | 48.6% | +8.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 51.6% | 57.5% | +5.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 28.0% | 32.8% | +4.8 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 64.9% | 69.1% | +4.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 17.7% | 21.3% | +3.6 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 12.7% | 15.8% | +3.2 |
| Leicester City | Conference League | 5.6% | 2.6% | −3.0 |
