Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brentford beat Manchester City with a 8.8% chance, Nottingham beat Crystal Palace with a 24.4% chance, and Aston Villa beat Brighton & Hove Albion with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 53.5% | 36.7% | −16.8 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 54.2% | 38.6% | −15.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 40.9% | 55.2% | +14.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 32.8% | 21.4% | −11.4 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 40.3% | 50.0% | +9.7 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 74.6% | 64.9% | −9.7 |
| Everton | Relegation | 18.5% | 28.0% | +9.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 19.9% | 11.0% | −8.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 43.5% | 51.6% | +8.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 32.2% | 40.0% | +7.8 |
