Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat West Ham with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 53.6% | 40.9% | −12.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 30.9% | 18.4% | −12.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 20.7% | 32.2% | +11.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 57.6% | 46.9% | −10.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 33.2% | 43.5% | +10.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 40.3% | 32.8% | −7.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 17.1% | 24.4% | +7.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 21.8% | 14.8% | −7.0 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 34.6% | 40.9% | +6.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 13.7% | 19.9% | +6.2 |
