Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Liverpool with a 12.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 24 (before the first match) against those on October 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 55.5% | 40.3% | −15.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 28.9% | 17.1% | −11.8 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 32.8% | 21.8% | −11.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 46.3% | 53.6% | +7.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 50.8% | 57.6% | +6.8 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 24.1% | 30.9% | +6.8 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 69.6% | 76.0% | +6.3 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Champions League | 8.3% | 13.7% | +5.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 15.5% | 20.7% | +5.2 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 10.3% | 5.9% | −4.4 |
