Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Nottingham beat Liverpool with a 10.9% chance and Newcastle beat Tottenham with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 23.9% | 36.2% | +12.2 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 36.2% | 24.1% | −12.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 40.0% | 51.5% | +11.5 |
| Bournemouth | Relegation | 35.4% | 46.3% | +10.9 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 23.2% | 32.8% | +9.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 22.8% | 13.7% | −9.1 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 78.3% | 69.6% | −8.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.8% | 28.9% | −7.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 58.6% | 50.8% | −7.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 7.9% | 15.5% | +7.7 |
