Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Manchester United with a 7.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 1 (before the first match) against those on May 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 43.4% | 13.6% | −29.9 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 56.3% | 85.5% | +29.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 57.4% | 79.4% | +22.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 41.2% | 20.6% | −20.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 91.0% | 100% | +9.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 9.0% | 0% | −9.0 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 9.0% | 0% | −9.0 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 94.2% | 100% | +5.8 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 95.5% | 100% | +4.5 |
