Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Chelsea with a 15.4% chance and Middlesbrough beat Leicester City with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 17 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Europa League | 42.1% | 20.0% | −22.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 16.9% | 1.4% | −15.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 14.0% | 1.3% | −12.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 44.3% | 56.8% | +12.5 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 75.5% | 87.6% | +12.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 24.0% | 33.0% | +9.0 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 52.8% | 61.1% | +8.3 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 6.7% | 10.5% | +3.8 |
| Ipswich Town | Europa League | 44.5% | 47.7% | +3.2 |
