Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Leeds United with a 20.2% chance and Sunderland beat Newcastle with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 12 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 18.1% | 32.4% | +14.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 60.8% | 72.7% | +11.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 24.0% | 35.4% | +11.5 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 45.7% | 55.1% | +9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 71.8% | 62.9% | −8.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 61.3% | 52.5% | −8.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 21.3% | 13.0% | −8.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 21.2% | 13.5% | −7.7 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 72.5% | 79.8% | +7.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 33.4% | 26.2% | −7.2 |
