Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Wimbledon with a 13.0% chance and Arsenal beat Chelsea with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 37.8% | 26.4% | −11.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 35.0% | 24.0% | −11.0 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 49.1% | 59.9% | +10.8 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 41.8% | 31.1% | −10.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 29.4% | 39.3% | +9.9 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 20.0% | 13.0% | −6.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.0% | 20.8% | +6.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 19.3% | 25.1% | +5.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 10.6% | 16.0% | +5.4 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 7.5% | 11.2% | +3.8 |
