Round 6

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Newcastle with a 16.3% chance and Leeds United beat Blackburn Rovers with a 17.2% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
NewcastleChampions League35.5%19.3%−16.2
Coventry CityRelegation36.2%25.5%−10.7
ChelseaChampions League28.1%37.8%+9.7
NewcastleChampion18.6%9.0%−9.6
Crystal PalaceRelegation32.3%41.8%+9.5
BarnsleyRelegation39.8%49.1%+9.3
Blackburn RoversChampions League19.8%11.3%−8.5
WimbledonRelegation15.5%7.5%−8.0
ArsenalChampions League21.8%29.4%+7.6
Leeds UnitedRelegation17.8%10.2%−7.6
Home 67.3%
Draw 21.9%
Away 10.8%
Home 30.6%
Draw 30.3%
Away 39.1%
Home 49.9%
Draw 26.9%
Away 23.2%
Home 23.6%
Draw 27.1%
Away 49.3%
Home 57.4%
Draw 24.7%
Away 17.9%
Home 52.2%
Draw 26.2%
Away 21.6%
Home 58.7%
Draw 24.3%
Away 17.0%
Home 65.0%
Draw 22.5%
Away 12.5%
Home 59.7%
Draw 24.0%
Away 16.3%
Home 58.5%
Draw 24.4%
Away 17.2%