Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Sheffield Wednesday with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 50.2% | 59.9% | +9.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 56.2% | 47.0% | −9.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.3% | 47.8% | +8.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 34.6% | 26.8% | −7.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 20.8% | 28.1% | +7.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 13.9% | 6.6% | −7.3 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 59.9% | 66.6% | +6.7 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 10.9% | 4.3% | −6.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 12.6% | 18.9% | +6.2 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 14.3% | 20.5% | +6.2 |
