Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Chelsea with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 18 (before the first match) against those on April 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 32.5% | 94.8% | +62.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 65.4% | 5.2% | −60.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 41.4% | 91.9% | +50.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 55.5% | 89.6% | +34.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 34.6% | 0.8% | −33.7 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 65.6% | 99.0% | +33.5 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 29.7% | 3.7% | −25.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 85.2% | 100% | +14.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 12.9% | 0% | −12.9 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 30.0% | 17.2% | −12.8 |
