Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Manchester United with a 21.9% chance and Leeds United beat Derby County with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 11 (before the first match) against those on March 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 63.5% | 84.2% | +20.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 13.4% | 30.9% | +17.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 84.2% | 67.0% | −17.2 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 11.4% | 28.5% | +17.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 28.5% | 13.9% | −14.7 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 20.6% | 28.9% | +8.3 |
| Derby County | Europa League | 20.8% | 12.6% | −8.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 46.8% | 54.8% | +8.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 9.9% | 3.3% | −6.6 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 72.4% | 65.9% | −6.5 |
