Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Newcastle with a 11.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 15 (before the first match) against those on May 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champion | 30.9% | 100% | +69.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 67.0% | 0% | −67.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 41.7% | 92.3% | +50.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 54.8% | 100% | +45.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 35.1% | 0% | −35.1 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 65.9% | 100% | +34.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 84.4% | 54.6% | −29.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 16.1% | 45.4% | +29.3 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 28.9% | 0% | −28.9 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 28.5% | 7.7% | −20.7 |
