Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Leeds United with a 11.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 13 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 42.3% | 25.8% | −16.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 38.1% | 50.6% | +12.5 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 37.5% | 48.5% | +11.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 27.9% | 36.5% | +8.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 30.9% | 22.4% | −8.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 9.3% | 17.3% | +8.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.1% | 20.5% | +6.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 12.7% | 17.9% | +5.2 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 19.0% | 13.9% | −5.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 9.6% | 4.5% | −5.0 |
