Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 5 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Barnsley beat Crystal Palace with a 22.4% chance, Blackburn Rovers beat Aston Villa with a 17.5% chance, Leicester City beat Liverpool with a 20.1% chance, Leeds United beat Sheffield Wednesday with a 20.7% chance, and Bolton Wanderers beat Newcastle with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 29.4% | 63.8% | +34.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 9.6% | 43.7% | +34.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 43.4% | 76.0% | +32.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 26.7% | 55.9% | +29.2 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 50.5% | 78.9% | +28.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 32.6% | 8.9% | −23.7 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 36.7% | 15.9% | −20.8 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 12.2% | 29.4% | +17.2 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 17.3% | 0.8% | −16.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 8.3% | 23.8% | +15.4 |
