Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on December 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester UnitedChampion22.1%69.6%+47.5
Manchester UnitedChampions League40.1%87.6%+47.5
EvertonRelegation22.4%60.7%+38.3
NewcastleChampions League37.0%1.8%−35.2
BarnsleyRelegation48.5%80.4%+31.9
ChelseaChampions League17.3%46.8%+29.5
ArsenalChampions League36.5%10.9%−25.6
SouthamptonRelegation50.6%25.1%−25.5
Blackburn RoversEuropa League13.4%35.9%+22.5
TottenhamRelegation13.9%35.9%+22.0
Home 49.2%
Draw 27.1%
Away 23.7%
Home 39.6%
Draw 30.1%
Away 30.3%
Home 37.2%
Draw 30.9%
Away 31.9%
Home 38.9%
Draw 30.4%
Away 30.8%
Home 24.7%
Draw 27.5%
Away 47.8%
Home 38.2%
Draw 30.6%
Away 31.2%
Home 44.1%
Draw 28.7%
Away 27.2%
Home 43.9%
Draw 28.7%
Away 27.3%
Home 40.9%
Draw 29.7%
Away 29.4%
Home 64.3%
Draw 22.7%
Away 13.0%