Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 14.8% chance, Aston Villa beat Derby County with a 21.5% chance, Southampton beat Liverpool with a 12.6% chance, and West Ham beat Newcastle with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 55.6% | 75.4% | +19.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 16.6% | 33.2% | +16.6 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 36.8% | 20.5% | −16.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 26.1% | 17.6% | −8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 4.8% | 12.1% | +7.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 34.5% | 27.4% | −7.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 34.6% | 40.9% | +6.3 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 84.0% | 90.0% | +5.9 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 14.9% | 9.2% | −5.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 41.0% | 36.0% | −5.1 |
