Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coventry City beat Southampton with a 22.8% chance and Barnsley beat Aston Villa with a 10.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 9 (before the first match) against those on March 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.2% | 93.2% | +60.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 37.4% | 1.0% | −36.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 40.9% | 6.7% | −34.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.1% | 40.6% | +28.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 42.3% | 69.5% | +27.2 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 75.4% | 97.2% | +21.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 27.4% | 6.2% | −21.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 80.7% | 97.3% | +16.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 17.6% | 2.1% | −15.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 15.5% | 2.7% | −12.8 |
