Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Manchester United with a 14.9% chance and Newcastle beat Aston Villa with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 20 (before the first match) against those on February 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 35.6% | 14.9% | −20.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 59.7% | 71.9% | +12.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 71.4% | 60.9% | −10.5 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 45.1% | 55.6% | +10.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 29.7% | 38.0% | +8.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 88.9% | 80.8% | −8.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.7% | 34.5% | −7.1 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 9.8% | 15.4% | +5.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 7.3% | 12.9% | +5.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 45.1% | 40.0% | −5.1 |
