Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Leeds United with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 11 (before the first match) against those on January 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 32.5% | 46.8% | +14.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 14.8% | 27.6% | +12.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 25.9% | 15.1% | −10.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 42.7% | 31.9% | −10.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 49.1% | 59.3% | +10.3 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 42.4% | 34.8% | −7.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 13.4% | 7.8% | −5.7 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 12.3% | 7.0% | −5.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 77.4% | 72.8% | −4.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 40.0% | 44.3% | +4.3 |
