Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Crystal Palace with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 29 (before the first match) against those on January 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 45.9% | 25.9% | −20.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 26.9% | 14.8% | −12.1 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 22.1% | 32.5% | +10.4 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 13.3% | 7.0% | −6.3 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 36.4% | 42.4% | +5.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 31.4% | 36.6% | +5.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 37.6% | 42.7% | +5.0 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 17.1% | 12.3% | −4.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.1% | 33.7% | +4.6 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 80.9% | 85.2% | +4.3 |
