Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Barnsley beat Derby County with a 24.1% chance, Coventry City beat Manchester United with a 22.0% chance, and West Ham beat Wimbledon with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 15.2% | 29.1% | +13.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 34.7% | 47.6% | +12.8 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 37.2% | 27.5% | −9.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 46.0% | 37.6% | −8.4 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 30.2% | 36.4% | +6.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 21.5% | 15.4% | −6.1 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 86.4% | 80.9% | −5.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 2.5% | 7.0% | +4.5 |
| Derby County | Europa League | 13.4% | 9.1% | −4.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 37.5% | 41.5% | +4.1 |
