Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Everton with a 15.3% chance and Bolton Wanderers beat Southampton with a 20.6% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 8 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester UnitedChampions League30.1%43.4%+13.3
Crystal PalaceRelegation49.6%36.7%−12.9
Manchester UnitedChampion16.3%26.7%+10.4
Bolton WanderersRelegation37.1%27.5%−9.5
SouthamptonRelegation27.0%35.4%+8.4
Coventry CityRelegation31.0%22.7%−8.4
BarnsleyRelegation42.2%50.5%+8.3
TottenhamRelegation8.0%16.0%+8.1
Aston VillaChampions League18.6%11.9%−6.8
EvertonRelegation22.7%29.4%+6.7
Home 34.8%
Draw 31.7%
Away 33.5%
Home 46.2%
Draw 28.0%
Away 25.8%
Home 27.8%
Draw 28.9%
Away 43.3%
Home 61.1%
Draw 23.6%
Away 15.3%
Home 34.2%
Draw 31.9%
Away 33.9%
Home 41.4%
Draw 29.6%
Away 29.1%
Home 55.9%
Draw 25.1%
Away 19.0%
Home 53.6%
Draw 25.8%
Away 20.6%
Home 41.6%
Draw 29.5%
Away 28.9%
Home 33.5%
Draw 31.7%
Away 34.7%