Round 15

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Barnsley beat Liverpool with a 5.5% chance and Crystal Palace beat Tottenham with a 20.0% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester UnitedChampion33.8%49.6%+15.8
Manchester UnitedChampions League54.6%69.5%+14.9
ArsenalChampions League40.0%29.0%−11.1
Sheffield WednesdayRelegation25.1%14.5%−10.6
LiverpoolChampions League21.5%12.2%−9.4
BarnsleyRelegation83.4%74.3%−9.0
TottenhamRelegation22.3%31.1%+8.8
ChelseaChampions League36.1%27.7%−8.5
ArsenalChampion19.9%12.1%−7.7
Crystal PalaceRelegation19.7%12.3%−7.5
Home 60.1%
Draw 23.9%
Away 16.0%
Home 41.8%
Draw 29.4%
Away 28.8%
Home 59.9%
Draw 24.0%
Away 16.2%
Home 63.8%
Draw 22.8%
Away 13.3%
Home 74.6%
Draw 19.9%
Away 5.5%
Home 60.3%
Draw 23.8%
Away 15.8%
Home 31.3%
Draw 30.6%
Away 38.1%
Home 34.0%
Draw 32.0%
Away 34.1%
Home 53.2%
Draw 25.9%
Away 20.9%
Home 54.5%
Draw 25.5%
Away 20.0%