Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Leicester City with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 32.9% | 20.6% | −12.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 37.7% | 48.5% | +10.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 65.3% | 54.6% | −10.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 43.9% | 33.8% | −10.1 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 34.6% | 25.1% | −9.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 14.9% | 21.5% | +6.7 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 20.8% | 14.2% | −6.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.8% | 40.0% | +6.2 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 16.9% | 22.3% | +5.4 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 78.4% | 83.4% | +5.0 |
