Round 16

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Arsenal with a 23.5% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on November 26 (before the first match) against those on November 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Bolton WanderersRelegation45.2%32.1%−13.1
TottenhamRelegation30.9%17.9%−13.0
ArsenalChampions League28.0%15.3%−12.7
EvertonRelegation49.1%61.6%+12.5
Blackburn RoversChampions League22.5%13.4%−9.1
Coventry CityRelegation27.1%35.6%+8.5
ChelseaChampions League34.4%41.9%+7.4
Manchester UnitedChampion47.6%54.8%+7.2
SouthamptonRelegation24.5%31.5%+7.0
ArsenalChampion11.6%5.0%−6.6
Home 24.4%
Draw 27.4%
Away 48.2%
Home 35.0%
Draw 31.7%
Away 33.3%
Home 54.2%
Draw 25.6%
Away 20.2%
Home 32.9%
Draw 31.4%
Away 35.6%
Home 32.2%
Draw 31.1%
Away 36.8%
Home 42.5%
Draw 29.2%
Away 28.3%
Home 41.7%
Draw 29.5%
Away 28.9%
Home 42.8%
Draw 29.1%
Away 28.1%
Home 49.5%
Draw 27.0%
Away 23.5%
Home 59.1%
Draw 24.2%
Away 16.7%