Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coventry City beat Wimbledon with a 15.3% chance and Southampton beat Everton with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 21.2% | 63.8% | +42.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 47.7% | 16.8% | −30.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.4% | 5.1% | −22.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 20.9% | 42.9% | +22.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 34.1% | 55.6% | +21.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 56.0% | 76.1% | +20.1 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 28.0% | 9.1% | −18.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 47.9% | 32.4% | −15.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 37.7% | 22.2% | −15.4 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 8.1% | 21.9% | +13.8 |
