Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Sheffield Wednesday with a 16.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 22 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 32.7% | 20.0% | −12.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 43.7% | 56.0% | +12.3 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 15.9% | 28.0% | +12.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 23.9% | 34.1% | +10.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 47.8% | 37.7% | −10.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 56.8% | 47.9% | −8.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 29.5% | 20.9% | −8.6 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 70.3% | 78.0% | +7.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 12.2% | 18.7% | +6.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 14.4% | 8.7% | −5.7 |
