Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Aston Villa with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 35.2% | 47.7% | +12.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 32.2% | 20.3% | −11.9 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 79.9% | 69.5% | −10.4 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 19.7% | 29.9% | +10.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 24.9% | 16.8% | −8.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 21.0% | 28.6% | +7.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 50.4% | 57.6% | +7.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 17.7% | 11.6% | −6.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 11.0% | 5.4% | −5.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 23.6% | 18.6% | −5.0 |
