Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Leicester City with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 67.9% | 50.4% | −17.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 34.2% | 21.0% | −13.3 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 17.9% | 9.1% | −8.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 19.0% | 10.8% | −8.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 24.5% | 32.2% | +7.7 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 19.1% | 12.0% | −7.1 |
| Crystal Palace | Relegation | 26.8% | 33.0% | +6.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 45.7% | 51.5% | +5.8 |
| Barnsley | Relegation | 74.4% | 79.9% | +5.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 18.8% | 23.6% | +4.8 |
