Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
9 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on October 12, with the matchday still in progress. Only changes of 3 percentage points or more.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 45.7% | 62.7% | +16.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 18.8% | 30.1% | +11.3 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 57.9% | 69.0% | +11.1 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 30.1% | 20.9% | −9.1 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 12.4% | 4.2% | −8.2 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 61.4% | 53.2% | −8.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 68.0% | 75.8% | +7.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 12.5% | 4.7% | −7.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 11.6% | 19.3% | +7.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 22.6% | 30.2% | +7.6 |
