Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on October 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 40.8% | 83.5% | +42.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Champions League | 41.5% | 2.4% | −39.1 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 39.8% | 5.2% | −34.6 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 38.7% | 4.1% | −34.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 10.4% | 44.8% | +34.4 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 25.2% | 58.8% | +33.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 64.9% | 96.0% | +31.2 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 36.4% | 10.1% | −26.3 |
| Racing Santander | Relegation | 7.5% | 33.5% | +26.0 |
| Málaga | Relegation | 38.1% | 62.9% | +24.8 |
