Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 3 (before the first match) against those on September 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Rayo VallecanoRelegation36.5%10.0%−26.4
Real MadridChampions League64.0%39.2%−24.8
Atlético MadridChampions League42.0%19.9%−22.1
OsasunaChampions League40.3%19.2%−21.1
Real BetisChampions League23.8%41.5%+17.7
Deportivo AlavésChampions League41.4%57.8%+16.4
Deportivo La CoruñaChampions League22.3%38.4%+16.1
Real MadridChampion24.1%8.8%−15.3
Athletic ClubChampions League10.5%25.7%+15.2
ValenciaRelegation37.8%52.0%+14.2
Home 34.6%
Draw 27.4%
Away 38.0%
Home 35.0%
Draw 27.6%
Away 37.4%
Home 33.7%
Draw 27.1%
Away 39.3%
Home 33.7%
Draw 27.1%
Away 39.3%
Home 29.6%
Draw 25.5%
Away 44.9%
Home 39.0%
Draw 27.2%
Away 33.9%
Home 33.4%
Draw 27.0%
Away 39.6%
Home 34.8%
Draw 27.5%
Away 37.6%
Home 42.5%
Draw 26.2%
Away 31.3%
Home 34.1%
Draw 27.2%
Away 38.7%