Villarreal
Villarreal sits 14th in the table, with 9 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 3.0%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.5% and 18.8%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (3.2%), Conference League (5.1%), and Relegation (13.8%). Next match: against Valencia, away, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 8.9%; a loss, to 18.0%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 0.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 13.8% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 13.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 13.9% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 13.6% |
| 10/16/2026 | 0.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 13.0% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 13.0% |
| 10/11/2026 | 0.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 13.5% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 14.2% |
| 10/09/2026 | 0.8% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.7% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 18.9% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 18.9% |
| 09/17/2026 | 0.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 16.7% |
| 09/16/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 48.1% |
| 09/15/2026 | <0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 49.0% |
| 09/14/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 47.0% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 34.8% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 36.2% |
| 09/11/2026 | <0.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 35.7% |
| 09/07/2026 | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 37.0% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 37.7% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 39.6% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 24.2% |
| 09/03/2026 | 0.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 24.0% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 23.4% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 25.6% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 26.7% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 24.2% |
| 08/27/2026 | 1.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 12.8% |
| 08/26/2026 | 1.6% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 13.6% |
| 08/25/2026 | 1.8% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 14.9% |
| 08/24/2026 | 2.0% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 15.2% |
| 08/23/2026 | 1.8% | 12.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 15.4% |
| 08/22/2026 | 2.8% | 16.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 13.6% |
| 08/21/2026 | 2.5% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 14.8% |
| 08/20/2026 | 3.2% | 15.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 15.5% |
| 08/19/2026 | 2.9% | 14.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 16.7% |
| 08/17/2026 | 3.0% | 15.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 16.2% |
| 08/16/2026 | 2.8% | 14.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 16.6% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.6% | 18.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 14.5% |
What the next match is worth
Villarreal's chance of each objective depending on the result against Valencia
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 13.8% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 18.0% |
| Champions League | 3.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Conference League | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Europa League | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
