Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Barcelona beat Real Madrid with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 27 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mérida | Relegation | 44.6% | 29.5% | −15.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 51.5% | 37.5% | −14.0 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 52.8% | 64.5% | +11.6 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.9% | 13.0% | −11.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 75.0% | 82.9% | +7.8 |
| Salamanca | Relegation | 62.5% | 69.6% | +7.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 18.8% | 25.3% | +6.5 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 18.8% | 13.0% | −5.8 |
| Sporting Gijón | Relegation | 59.6% | 64.8% | +5.2 |
| Barcelona | Europa League | 17.1% | 12.2% | −4.9 |
