Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Espanyol beat Atlético Madrid with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 29.5% | 18.8% | −10.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 45.1% | 52.8% | +7.7 |
| Espanyol | Europa League | 14.5% | 21.0% | +6.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 29.8% | 23.9% | −5.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 32.3% | 26.5% | −5.8 |
| Espanyol | Champions League | 6.1% | 11.9% | +5.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 57.1% | 51.5% | −5.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 69.6% | 75.0% | +5.4 |
| Real Zaragoza | Relegation play-off | 19.7% | 14.3% | −5.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 12.1% | 6.8% | −5.2 |
